In this video about Constructing Cassandra, we explain how the CIA failed to anticipate the fall of the USSR. Watch it here on YouTube.
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23andMe analysis of competing hypotheses artificial intelligence BCG Matrix Betts Big data black swan Cassandras China CIA clayton christensen competitive intelligence Constructing cassandra crafting strategy Cuban Missile Crisis culture decision making demography disruption diversity economics energy entrepreneurship Ernest R May Forbes Forecast forecasting geopolitical alpha Geopolitics Geostrategy Global Trends 2030 Graham T. Allison grand strategy Hedge funds identity Integrated Strategy intelligence Intelligence Analysis Intelligence failure investing Kodak leadership Nassim taleb National Intelligence Council non-linearity non-market strategy non-predictive strategy nonlinear systems non market forces organizational decline Osama bin Laden Peter F. Drucker Porter's Five Forces prediction Richard E Neustadt Richard Neustadt Risk Sam Walton scenario planning Sherman Kent Social construction strategic autism strategic surprise strategy strategy making surprise Tactics technology Tetlock uncertainty Use of analogs Use of history USSR Value Chain Analysis videoFollow us on Twitter
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