Tag Archives: investing

Meet Milo Jones at the upcoming Brasidas & GeopoliticalAlpha (GpA) Strategic investment Seminar on Jan 26th

Brasidas & GeopoliticalAlpha (GpA) will hold the first of their 2016 Strategic Seminar Series on the theme “Iran – spotting and vetting opportunities” on January 26th in Zurich. Milo Jones will talk about how to use intelligence analysis tools and concepts to evaluate new strategic investment opportunities in Iran. Further information is available here.

Advertisements

Our new Forbes piece: Chess, Centaurs and Your Future as an Investor in An Age of Machine Intelligence

Our new Forbes article is a reflection on the impact of artificial intelligence and machine reading on investing. Machine reading and artificial intelligence is becoming a fact of life in finance. As an investor, will you be a victim or will you take advantage of it? The article is available here.

 

Geopolitics: Shortcuts For Spotting Good And Bad Analysis

If you enjoyed the piece in Forbes earlier in the week about the similarities between poor geopolitical analysis and psychic cold-reading, an expanded version, “Geopolitics: Shortcuts For Spotting Good And Bad Analysis” is now available on Seeking Alpha.

A Slipshod Analysts Best Friend.

A Slipshod Analysts Best Friend.

Geopolitical Alpha – What It Is, And Why You Need It

Logo 1 without Taglines

Milo has just published the first of a series of articles about Geopolitics and investing on the financial news site Seeking Alpha.  It’s entitled “Geopolitical Alpha – What It Is, And Why You Need It”.

If you want to jump ahead in the series (and explore some of topics the Seeking Alpha series will cover in more depth), see our previous posts, especially Geopolitics and Investing: A Reading List and How to Think like an Intelligence Analyst.

Comments and questions are most welcome either here or on the Seeking Alpha site.

 

 

Geopolitics and Investing: A Reading List

As I explain to my students at IE, the most any business school can hope to do is move you from unconscious ignorance to conscious ignorance of a subject.  In other words, a course can lay a firm foundation in a subject, and then provide a jumping off point for future self-study.  After my MIAF course “Geopolitics and Investing”, that usually prompts the question, “Where should I begin such self-study?”  How do I start to learn to generate “geopolitical alpha”?

As I said in an earlier post, there are certain key books that point you towards how to think like an intelligence analyst.  Because the skills of an intelligence analyst and a geopolitical investor overlap so much, I would also say that investors interested in geopolitics start with those key books.  In particular, if you haven’t mastered the critical thinking and the basic analytic  techniques described in Thinking in Time, Essence of Decision and The Thinker’s Toolkit, you are still in kindergarten as far as intelligence analysis is concerned.    Heuer’s Psychology of Intelligence Analysis (downloadable free from the CIA’s site here) is also immensely valuable.  None of these books will teach you geopolitical analysis per se, but they will give you a solid foundation in non-quantitative analysis.

One investor gets a grip on Geopolitics

Continue reading