On March 21, Milo will offer an IE Masterclass on “Geopolitics for Business” in Tokyo. The following day, he will be speaking on the same topic at Nissan’s Global Headquarters and in a Nikkei Open Seminar. Please contact him if you would like to attend one of these sessions.
Special Lecture with Harvard Business Review Korea, 24 March, 2016
In Seoul on March 24, Milo will offer a session on the promise and pitfalls of Big Data at Ernst & Young. That session will be followed in the evening by a special, two-part Masterclass for Harvard Business Review Korea (Donga Business Review) entitled “Intelligence Tools for the Business Professional”. In this session, Milo will explore how businesses can use analytic tools drawn from the Intelligence Community to understand incidents like the de facto 2010 Chinese embargo on the export of rare earth elements. Please note that this event hosted by DBR on a fee basis; if you are interested in attending, please register here.
The content of all of these sessions will be covered in much greater depth in Madrid in June, when Milo is co-teaching the three-day IE Executive Education course “Unconventional Edges in Finance: Tools from Intelligence Agencies, Behavioral Finance, and Scenario Strategy.” Details about the course and how to register for it can be found here.
On Wednesday, December 9, Milo is speaking on the panel “Qatar’s Strategy in a Changing World” at the Euromoney Qatar conference. The panel will address Qatar’s place among the shifting geopolitics of the Persian Gulf region, and the financial risks and opportunities generated by recent global trends. In addition to his panel, conference speakers includes senior figures from the Qatari financial and political establishment and a keynote address by Sir John Scarlett, Former Chief of MI6.
For details of the event or if you would like to attend Milo’s panel, please contact him directly (or of course contact Euromoney directly to attend the Conference as a whole).
If you enjoyed the piece in Forbes earlier in the week about the similarities between poor geopolitical analysis and psychic cold-reading, an expanded version, “Geopolitics: Shortcuts For Spotting Good And Bad Analysis” is now available on Seeking Alpha.
A Slipshod Analysts Best Friend.
Milo’s latest advice for investors and business people trying to come to grips with geopolitics is now available on Forbes.com. It’s called “Geopolitics, Investing and the Little Book of Psychic Cold Reading”.
Milo has just published the first of a series of articles about Geopolitics and investing on the financial news site Seeking Alpha. It’s entitled “Geopolitical Alpha – What It Is, And Why You Need It”.
If you want to jump ahead in the series (and explore some of topics the Seeking Alpha series will cover in more depth), see our previous posts, especially Geopolitics and Investing: A Reading List and How to Think like an Intelligence Analyst.
Comments and questions are most welcome either here or on the Seeking Alpha site.
In a previous post, Milo argued that strategic thinking should begin at the level of Geostrategy (See Start with Geostrategy or call it tactics). Geostrategy looks at how geopolitical factors inform, constrain, and affect business over the long term. For convenience, you can place these geopolitical drivers into four categories that interact, evolve and change over time: Demographics, Geography, Technology, and Culture. It is “climate change” at the level of these geopolitical drivers– and especially the interaction among them – that create the economic and political “weather” of your firm. These are often same forces that fund managers harness to generate “alpha” for their funds. It is at their level that true strategy begins. In this post, we’ll look at the first one, Demographics.
The Foundations of Lasting Strategy
I’m not supposed to be blogging. Philippe and I have a book deadline at SUP this week. We have a Forbes piece due soon, too. And I have a speech to prepare for an Institutional Investor Forum in mid-September. So I’m going to make this quick…
Tonight I went out for dinner with a stack of reading to catch up on. Over indifferent Italian, I read two articles that I have to share. One I want to share because it’s so smart, and the other I want to share because it’s the opposite, but it parrots several popular misconceptions.
Posted in Theory
Tagged Anne Korin, China, commodities, dystopia, economics, energy, extrapolation, forecasting, Gal Luft, geopolitical alpha, Geopolitics, GMO Quarterly Letter, Grantham, jeremy grantham, malthusianism, Minxin Pei, oil, Peter H. Diamandis, prediction, price mechanism, Simon and Ehrlich, SocGen, Steven Kotler, whale oil