Our latest post on Forbes, an update on ruminations about commodity scarcity that you’ve seen on this blog before, is now available here. The future isn’t bleak, even if fear sells.
Our new book:
Keywords
23andMe analysis of competing hypotheses black swan China CIA clayton christensen competitive intelligence crafting strategy decision making demography disruption Ernest R May Forbes Forecast forecasting Geopolitics Geostrategy Graham T. Allison Hedge funds Integrated Strategy intelligence Intelligence Analysis Intelligence failure Kodak Nassim taleb non-linearity non-predictive strategy nonlinear systems non market forces organizational decline Peter F. Drucker prediction Richard E Neustadt Richard Neustadt Social construction strategic autism strategic surprise strategy strategy making Tactics technology uncertainty Use of analogs Use of history USSRFollow us on Twitter
- "If you need 8% growth to keep the society stable, there's something wrong with the society" - Professor Yasheng Huang on China 1 week ago
- Constructing Cassandra: Reframing intelligence failure at the CIA, 1947-2001 is available for preorder on Amazon: amazon.com/Constructing-C… 2 weeks ago
- Analysis Paralysis: the Intelligence-Policy Divide, Revisited wp.me/p1pSwe-hP 3 weeks ago
- 1962 Cuban missile crisis shows that big data will not make us smarter onforb.es/RP1NlO #bigdata 3 weeks ago
- RT @nntaleb: My point is that one does not judge a model on whether it is wrong, rather how costly the error, period. 3 weeks ago
- We're finally up on Amazon! Pre-orders are now available... fb.me/2EdP47KBU 3 weeks ago
- Rachel Marsden: Fogle fiasco underscores America's intelligence problem fb.me/Dv8DIJKj 4 weeks ago
- Fogle fiasco underscores America's intelligence problem latimes.com/news/opinion/s… 4 weeks ago
Archives
Silberzahn Jones
