Category Archives: Uncategorized

Our Constructing Cassandra book is cited in new BBC World article

Posted on September 10, 2019 by | Leave a comment

How are organizations surprised? Our Constructing Cassandra book is cited in this BBC World article: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-49582852#.

bbc-article-on-constructing-cassandra

Leave a comment

Posted in Uncategorized

Milo Jones to speak at TEDxIEMadrid on AI and leadership

Posted on June 8, 2017 by | Leave a comment

Milo Jones speaks on June 8th, 2017 at TEDxIEMadrid on AI and leadership. More here.

Leave a comment

Posted in Uncategorized

Tagged , ,

Our new Forbes piece: Three Practical Reasons To Insist On Forecasts Without Numbers

Posted on November 7, 2015 by | Leave a comment

Our new Forbes piece is in praise of poets and gives you three practical reasons to insist on, yes, qualitative forecasting when considering the future. Read it here.

Leave a comment

Posted in Uncategorized

Tagged , , ,

Constructing Cassandra in paperback

Posted on April 22, 2014 by | Leave a comment

If you were waiting for the paperback edition of Constructing Cassandra to order your copy, now’s your chance:  Amazon is accepting pre-orders for $26.96 here.

CC

Leave a comment

Posted in Uncategorized

Meeting of the Oxford University Strategic Studies Group

Posted on January 28, 2014 by | Leave a comment

Tonight at 8:30 PM, Milo will lead a discussion about strategic surprise and Constructing Cassandra at a meeting of the Oxford University Strategic Studies Group.  The meeting will be in the Old Library of All Souls College, and all discussions will be conducted under Chatham House rules.

all-souls-college-oxford-oxalsoul

Leave a comment

Posted in Uncategorized

The MOOC Disruption is Only Beginning. What I Learned Creating my First MOOC

Posted on January 5, 2014 by | 6 comments

Milo and I have already discussed sources of disruption in this blog (see for instance Milo’s Start with Geostrategy, or call it Tactics), and we’ve particularly discussed the role of technology as a  source of disruption. But it is one thing is to describe disruption, and another to experience it.  In that context, I created and ran a MOOC (an online course) on entrepreneurship last November, and thought I’d share the results of this effort for two reasons. First, because MOOCs are poised to disrupt education and second, because there’s been some controversy about them. So let’s go through my experience and see what it tells us.

Continue reading →

6 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized

Tagged , , , , , , ,

Three Alternatives to Strategic Popcorn

Posted on September 17, 2013 by | 2 comments

Summer has been over for a while, but I’m only now finding the time to do a post.  It’s going to be short – just an update to a couple of my previous posts on reading for strategists (like Geopolitics and Investing and How to Think Like an Intelligence Analyst).

Red, White, Red, White, Red: Five Forces!

White & Red – Five Forces!

The not-so-subtle idea underpinning those posts is that much of what is called business or investment strategy “literature” is intellectual popcorn:  fun to eat, temporarily satisfying, but with no long-term nutritional value.  Eat only popcorn, and you’ll starve to death.  (Here I could criticize business schools for serving mostly intellectual junk food to  their students, but that’s what happens when you let kids create the menu!)

Continue reading →

2 Comments

Posted in Methodology & Tools, Resources, Uncategorized

Tagged , , , , , , , , , ,

Constructing Cassandra is here, fresh out of the press!

Posted on August 13, 2013 by | Leave a comment

ConstructingCassandra-book

Leave a comment

Posted in Uncategorized

Tagged ,

Analysis Paralysis: the Intelligence-Policy Divide, Revisited

Posted on March 7, 2013 by | 4 comments

The National Intelligence Council’s Global Trends 2030 was released earlier this year (you can find it here).  In that context, it is worth mentioning an important point that Wikistrat‘s Thomas P.M. Barnett made earlier about previous NIC’s forecasts in his 2005 book, The Pentagon’s New Map.  Barnett’s key point in the book for our purposes is that the US Intelligence Community believes that it must only do analysis, and never engage in “advocacy” of any particular policy.  This epistemologically naive point of departure poses a number of problems.

Continue reading →

4 Comments

Posted in Uncategorized

Tagged , , , , , ,

Personal Genetic Testing Companies – an Update

Posted on February 4, 2013 by | Leave a comment

Last week, I again attended VALUEx.   If you’re a Value Investor, this is no more interesting use of your time – it is an extraordinary gathering of intelligent, talented and fun people.

Like me, many people at VALUEx avoid investing in technology firms.  On the other hand, many participants know that it’s important to follow the evolution of what I call the “3 GRAIN” technologies (3D printing, Genetics, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Information Technology, and Nanotechnology).  Each of the 3 GRAIN general purpose technologies will have an increasing impact on the creation of value in the years ahead.   Moreover, how they will combine to produce social changes is something that Philippe and I think about a lot.
Capture

Leave a comment

Posted in Case study, Resources, Uncategorized

Tagged , ,